TTFBA 2010 – Week 3 Point Spreads

Week 3 Point Spreads (Favorite in Bold)

(-8) Minnesota @ Coldspring
Both teams come into week 3 2-0, but it is unlikely Coldspring earns a victory this week, even at home.  Minnesota’s defense and efficient offense are too tough.

(-6) Antelope @ New England
New England has managed a league-low 9 points on offense this season (All of which came in week 1).  New England’s quarterback play makes it seem unlikely that they can pull of an upset.

(-15) Hermitage @ Fort Worth
Surprising spread in this game.  Both teams come into week 3 1-1.  Hermitage QB Matthew Stafford has played much better than expected so far this season – while Fort Worth QB Tom Brady has underachieved.  Look for this trend to flip and for Fort Worth to pull off an upset at home.

(-18) San Pedro C @ Donelson
This is the 2nd largest point spread of the week – and it should be.  Donelson leads the league with 86 points scored and is 3rd best in the league with points allowed at 28 (with 14 of those coming in garbage time with Donelson guarding a large lead).  Fun fact: Donelson has gone down 7-0 to start the game in each of its first two.  Donelson wins – and probably covers.

(-12) Knoxville @ Tennessee
New Tennessee owner Thomas Cox enjoyed an upset victory over Wausau in week 1, but came crashing back down to earth in week 2 (minus star QB Ben Roethlisberger).  Knoxville looks to bounce back after a very close loss to Wausau in week 2.  Look for this game to be a lot closer than the spread indicates.

(-2) Trois-Pistoles @ Wausau
Road teams seem to be garnering a lot of favoritism in week 3.  Wausau has underachieved this year so far.  On paper, it appears Wausau should have one of the most explosive offenses in the league, however, they have managed only 38 points in two weeks.  Look for Wausau’s offense to come alive against a good, but not great, Sea Lions defense.

(-2) Dayton @ Montcalm
Not a great matchup for Dayton.  Aside from All-World ILB Patrick Willis, Dayton has no real playmakers on defense.  Montcalm brings an offense led by stud QB Drew Brees – Montcalm wins easily.

(EVEN) DC @ Tillman
Tillman comes into this game 2-0, sporting an efficient offense and stifling defense.  DC Head Coach Randy has done well in his first two weeks in the TTFBA.  Head Coach Chris Erath is one of the better coaches in the league and gets it done against a rookie head coach at DC.

(-24) Great Lakes @ Bearden
Great Lakes lost a heartbreaker last week to Buffalo, or could easily be 2-0.  Great Lakes sports one of the more balanced teams in the league.  Bearden’s offense is woeful, due in large part to the dreadful play of its offensive line.  Great Lakes secondary is one of the best in the league and will keep Manning in check.  Not sure Great Lakes covers here, but they will come away with a W.  Bearden has a chance to go 0-16.

(-10) Nashville @ Buffalo
After being man-handled in week 1 by Great Lakes, Nashville took out its anger  in week 2 against Bearden.  Nashville does not matchup well with Buffalo  (See: Nashville’s secondary versus Buffalo’s passing arsenal).  Buffalo should head into week 4 undefeated after handling Nashville fairly easily at home.

(EVEN) Saint Gabriel @ Real Charleston
This game should be a tight one.  Saint Gabriel sports a lot of weapons on offense, but Real Charleston sports the league’s best weapon on offense.  RC RB Chris Johnson is a threat to go the distance anytime he touches the ball.  Both teams match up pretty well, but look for Real Charleston to take this one at home carried by RB Chris Johnson.

(-13) Bullard @ Fresno
I said this was the week of the road-warriors, didn’t I?  Fresno’s defense has been dreadful this season, but hasn’t been helped much by its offense (6 turnovers in 2 weeks).  Injuries may play a factor in this game for both teams, with each missing starts.  Fresno may pull off an upset in this one home – but either way, look for this game to be much closer than the spread indicates.

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