TTFBA Week 8 Point Spreads

After a 3 week hiatus in point spreads (I did get married, after all) here we have this week’s spreads.  Enjoy!

(Favorite in Bold)

(-1) Buffalo @ San Pedro
Buffalo’s offense continues to look unstoppable.  The Blitz are second in the league in points scored and that has helped them find themselves in control of the conference with a 7-0 record.  San Pedro has been hot as of late, winning 4 straight after starting the season 0-3.

Buffalo gets it done in this one to move to 8-0, but it won’t be easy on the road.

(-17) Bearden @ Donelson
No in-depth write up needed here.  Donelson has won by an average of 22 points this season.  Spread is too small, and Bearden is no match.

(-8) Great Lakes @ Fort Worth
Great Lakes is looking to stay hot as head coach Mike Fafnis has guided his squad to a 6-1 record and is tied for 2nd place in the OJ Simpson conference.  Fort Worth has talent, but not enough to put up a substantial amount of points on the 2nd best defense in the league.  Great Lakes improves to 7-1 and keeps pressure on Buffalo and Tillman.

(PICK) Nashville @ Hermitage
Nashville has started looking towards next season as evidenced by some trades as of late (bidding adieu to Andre Carter, Fred Davis, Ryan Lilja and several other players through free agency).

Hermitage is without an owner and is giving up a bunch of points on defense.  Nashville’s offense is sputtering – so it looks to be Hermitage’s offense versus Nashville’s defense.  Nod goes to Hermitage.

(-7) New England @ Wausau
Both of these squads have played better as of late.  Wausau has added several key players and looks to continue their winning ways.

Head coach Greg Smith nearly outdueled the Donelson Warriors two weeks ago and knocked them out of the unbeaten ranks.  New England has played tough, but simply can’t put up enough points on offense to hang in this game.

Wausau moves to 4-4.

(PICK) Coldspring @ Knoxville

Knoxville has underachieved a bit this season.  Coldspring is suddenly without an owner, despite looking like a Super Bowl contender.  That being said, Coldspring is the superior team in this game.

The question is, who’s a better coach–the computer, or Jim Martin?  My money’s on Jim.  Look for Knoxville to win a close one.

(-1) Minnesota @ Tennessee
Thomas Cox’s rookie season as a head coach has been a tough one.  After an improbable opening week victory over Wausau, the Vigilantes have come crashing back down to earth and performed in a way more consistent with what I expected to begin the season (Tennessee averaged 6 wins person season in simulations).  Minnesota has been tough this season, with a stout defense and above average offense.

I’d look for this to be a close, low-scoring game with Minnesota emerging victorious.

(-9) Antelope @ Trois-Pistoles
Trois-Pistoles sits on top of the division right now and needs to win this one at home to keep a surging Wausau at bay.  Antelope has been dismal on offense this season, scoring a league-low 13 points per game.

I look for Antelope QB Joe Flacco to get out of his slump in this game and surprise Trois-Pistoles on the road.

(-2) Tillman @ Fresno
This should be one of the better games this week.  Fresno sits at 4-3, tied for the division lead while Tillman is 6-1, with the lone loss coming from undefeated Buffalo.  If Tillman plans to catch Buffalo, they are going to need some help — but also have to take care of their own business.

Fresno has been explosive on offense, but also paper-thin on defense.  Tillman sports one of the best defenses in the league, while scoring points with a methodical offense.  Fresno has a tough task ahead of them in this one.

Tillman probably comes out with a victory, but don’t be surprised if Fresno overpowers Tillman on offense.

(-8) Dayton @ Real Charleston

After starting off red hot, Real Charleston has cooled as of late.  However, Dayton has been one of the worst in the league.  Dayton will be without leading rusher Brandon Jacobs and will struggle to score points and keep up with one of the league’s best offenses.

Real Charleston rolls in this one.

(-11) DC @ Bullard
DC hasn’t been great in their rookie season, but that’s no fault of their own.  Young QB Matt Ryan simply doesn’t have the weapons he needs to succeed–yet.  This team is young and is capable of going places in the future.  That being said, Bullard has outplayed their 3-4 record and should score plenty of points on one of the league’s leakiest defenses.


 

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